Custody levels in young offender institutions (YOIs) have risen above safe limits, new figures have shown, prompting fears the secure estate is on the brink of crisis.

Ministry of Justice statistics show that occupancy rates for YOIs, including 18-year-olds, are running at 94 per cent, exceeding the Youth Justice Board’s stated safe operating limit of 93 per cent.

The overall occupancy rate, including secure training centres (STCs) and secure children’s homes (SCHs), is running at 93 per cent. Individually, STCs are at 90 per cent capacity and SCHs at 89 per cent.

The overall rate represents a substantial increase on April’s rate of 86 per cent. But as recently as February the rate stood at 81 per cent. In January 2010 it was 73 per cent.

The YJB’s Annual Workload Data for 2009/10, published in January, states: "In order for the system to operate effectively, efficiently and at an acceptable level of risk, the YJB commissions places on the basis that the estate should operate at a maximum of 93 per cent occupancy rate."

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