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Children's services are between a rock and a hard place

1 min read
Writing this in advance of the comprehensive spending review, it seems clear that frontline services will suffer a less severe cut than other parts of the public sector. So schools and colleges might get away with cuts of perhaps 10 per cent over four years. But it is clear that the Department for Education (DfE) will suffer much larger cuts to central administration budgets. One estimate is that the total staffing of the DfE and its so-called arm's length bodies will reduce from around 8,000 to around 5,000 staff, and it is impossible to conceive that this could happen without a major reconfiguration of what the department does.

But I'm much more concerned with what will happen to local authority budgets. The problem is that there is little ringfencing, so it will be tempting for councils to share the pain between the frontline and support functions. Using a mid-range estimate, suppose that councils will have cuts of 20 per cent over four years - what will this mean?

Can cuts of this scale be delivered by improved efficiency, for example by outsourcing? Outsourcing can result in some efficiencies by the private sector doing things more cheaply. But unless technological solutions can be found - and these are easier to promise than deliver - the solution is to pay staff less.

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