The causes of the riots have been widely discussed, alongside the factors that led to their spreading so rapidly. In summary, as it seems to me, anger against a specific event; generic anger against society, casual criminality, and opportunism are seen as the causes; and the amplifying factors are the broadcast media and the print media, both of which focus coverage on the extreme cases and make things seem worse than they are, and social media and smartphone technology. And the short-term forecast seems obvious to me; the same media coverage of the arrests and court process will be a strong disincentive to potential opportunism and casual criminality, so there will be no more mass disturbances, at least while the present coverage continues
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