Commissioned by the Joseph Rowntree Foundation, the analysis of government policy around tax and benefits forecasts that among all children and working-age people there will be a relative rise in poverty of about 800,000.
Authors of the report said the calculations are at odds with government claims that the October spending review will have no measureable impact on child poverty in 2012/13.
Joseph Rowntree Foundation chief executive Julia Unwin said: "We are very concerned about the future levels of child poverty and working-age poverty. Recent announcements by the coalition government have focused on getting people back to work, but, as all our research shows, work alone is not enough to provide long-term sustainable routes out of poverty.
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